2. Computational International Relations: Recent submissions

Now showing items 16-18 of 25

    • Background conditions to the outbreak of the First World War 

      Choucri, Nazli (© Peace Research Society (International) Papers, 1968)
      This paper focuses on a comparative analysis of the attributes and capa- bilities of the major European states between the years 1870-1914. When war broke out in the summer of 1914 it was largely unexpected. The bipolarization ...

    • Applications of econometric analysis to forecasting in international relations 

      Choucri, Nazli (© Peace Science Society (International) Papers., 1973)
      The apparent neglect of quantitative methodology in political analysis can be explained partly by the absence of a common paradigm or frame of reference for political inquiry and partly by the lack of experience with ...

    • Forecasting in international relations: Problems and prospects 

      Choucri, Nazli (© Gorden and Breach Science Publishers Ltd., 1974)
      The author argues that forecasting is a problem of reasoning, of reducing uncertainty, and of bounded speculation, and she identifies four types of forecasting goals: (1) understanding the unknown (i.e., prophecy), (2) ...