Population dynamics and local conflict: A cross national study of population and war

Abstract

There are many uncertainties concerning the implications of population dynamics for conflict and violence among nations. The record is unclear. And despite some preliminary evidence regarding the role of demographic factors in contributing to violent conflict, considerable ambiguities remain. The purpose of this paper is to (1) summarize a cross-national study of the relationship between population dynamics and violent conflict in developing areas, (2) present a profile of basic patterns and associations, and (3) provide some insights into the apparent linkages between demographic factors, on the one hand, and conflict behavior, on the other. This skeletal review is abstracted from a detailed comparative analysis of the role of demographic factors in 45 "third world" conflicts since World War II. Logistical constraints prevent a discussion of each case, and as comprehensive a review of methods, procedure. results and policy implications as would be desirable. Only the broadest patterns are delineated.